CF · MIN
James Outman — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 27 games this season, James Outman (MIN) is averaging 0.26 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. They've gone over 0.5 in 22% of those games. Our model projects 0.53, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), James Outman went over in 6 of 27 2026 games.
Our projection 0.53 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.03.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/27 | 22% |
| 1.5 | 1/27 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Outman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See James Outman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.