EdgeTake

3B · PIT

Jared Triolo — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Hits
19
Per Game
0.73
Projection
0.67
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 26 games this season, Jared Triolo (PIT) is averaging 0.73 hits per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.8. They've gone over 0.5 in 58% of those games. Our model projects 0.67, a step above the market line of 0.63.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +100 at BetMGM — model 49% to hit, -2.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +100 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Jared Triolo went over in 15 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.67 vs market line 0.63 — edge +0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.515/2658%
1.53/2612%
2.51/264%

Share of 2026 games Triolo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.73

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.83
Away (14)
0.64
Home edge
+0.19

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYM1Over
2026-03-28vs NYM1Over
2026-03-29vs NYM0Under
2026-03-30vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs CIN1Over
2026-04-03vs BAL2Over
2026-05-02vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs AZ1Over
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs SF0Under
2026-05-10vs SF1Over
2026-05-13vs COL1Over
2026-05-14vs COL2Over
2026-05-15vs PHI1Over
2026-05-16vs PHI0Under
2026-05-17vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs STL3Over
2026-05-21vs STL1Over
2026-05-23vs TOR0Under
2026-05-24vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs CHC1Over
2026-05-28vs CHC1Over
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs MIN1Over
2026-05-31vs MIN1Over
2026-06-03vs HOU0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jared Triolo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.