EdgeTake

3B · PIT

Jared Triolo — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Runs
5
Per Game
0.19
Projection
0.3
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 26 games this season, Jared Triolo (PIT) is averaging 0.19 runs per game, trending up to 0.3 across the last 10. 19% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.3, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +155 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -210 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jared Triolo went over in 5 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.3 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.2.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/2619%
1.50/260%

Share of 2026 games Triolo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.19

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.17
Away (14)
0.21
Home edge
-0.05

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYM1Over
2026-03-28vs NYM0Under
2026-03-29vs NYM0Under
2026-03-30vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs CIN0Under
2026-04-03vs BAL1Over
2026-05-02vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs AZ0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs SF0Under
2026-05-10vs SF0Under
2026-05-13vs COL0Under
2026-05-14vs COL0Under
2026-05-15vs PHI0Under
2026-05-16vs PHI0Under
2026-05-17vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs STL1Over
2026-05-21vs STL0Under
2026-05-23vs TOR0Under
2026-05-24vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs CHC1Over
2026-05-28vs CHC0Under
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs MIN0Under
2026-05-31vs MIN0Under
2026-06-03vs HOU1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jared Triolo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.