EdgeTake

1B · NYM

Jared Young — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
17
Runs
7
Per Game
0.41
Projection
0.44
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jared Young (NYM) sits at 0.41 runs per game through 17 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.5 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 35% of those games. Our projection of 0.44 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +198 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -250 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jared Young went over in 6 of 17 2026 games.

Our projection 0.44 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/1735%
1.51/176%

Share of 2026 games Young finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.41

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (10)
0.40
Away (7)
0.43
Home edge
-0.03

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-29vs PIT0Under
2026-03-30vs STL1Over
2026-03-31vs STL0Under
2026-04-01vs STL0Under
2026-04-05vs SF1Over
2026-04-05vs SF0Under
2026-04-07vs AZ0Under
2026-04-09vs AZ0Under
2026-04-10vs ATH0Under
2026-04-12vs ATH0Under
2026-05-26vs CIN0Under
2026-05-27vs CIN1Over
2026-05-29vs MIA1Over
2026-05-30vs MIA2Over
2026-05-31vs MIA0Under
2026-06-02vs SEA1Over
2026-06-03vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jared Young’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.