EdgeTake

RF · CWS

Jarred Kelenic — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
19
Total Bases
17
Per Game
0.89
Projection
1.34
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jarred Kelenic (CWS) has averaged 0.89 total bases per game across 19 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 1.1 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 47% of games. We project 1.34, ahead of the 0.9 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -124 at Caesars — model 56% to hit, +1.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -124 CaesarsUnder 0.5 -105 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jarred Kelenic went over in 9 of 19 2026 games.

Our projection 1.34 vs market line 0.9 — edge +0.44.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/1947%
1.54/1921%
2.53/1916%
3.51/195%

Share of 2026 games Kelenic finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
0.89

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (9)
1.00
Away (10)
0.80
Home edge
+0.20

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-29vs LAA0Under
2026-05-03vs SD0Under
2026-05-03vs SD1Over
2026-05-05vs LAA3Over
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-08vs SEA1Over
2026-05-09vs SEA1Over
2026-05-10vs SEA0Under
2026-05-12vs KC0Under
2026-05-13vs KC3Over
2026-05-14vs KC0Under
2026-05-15vs CHC4Over
2026-05-16vs CHC0Under
2026-05-19vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs SEA1Over
2026-05-20vs SEA1Over
2026-05-23vs SF2Over
2026-05-24vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jarred Kelenic’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.