EdgeTake

LF · BOS

Jarren Duran — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
54
Hits
48
Per Game
0.89
Projection
1.09
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Jarren Duran (BOS) sits at 0.89 hits per game through 54 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.4. They've gone over 1.5 in 20% of those games. We project 1.09, ahead of the 0.61 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 1.5 +195 BetRivers

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Jarren Duran went over in 11 of 54 2026 games.

Our projection 1.09 vs market line 0.61 — edge +0.48.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.533/5461%
1.511/5420%
2.53/546%

Share of 2026 games Duran finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.40
Season avg
0.89

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
1.00
Away (29)
0.79
Home edge
+0.21

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN2Over
2026-03-28vs CIN0Under
2026-03-29vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU1Under
2026-04-03vs SD1Under
2026-04-04vs SD1Under
2026-04-05vs SD1Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-11vs STL0Under
2026-04-11vs STL2Over
2026-04-12vs STL1Under
2026-04-13vs MIN1Under
2026-04-14vs MIN0Under
2026-04-15vs MIN0Under
2026-04-17vs DET1Under
2026-04-20vs DET0Under
2026-04-21vs NYY0Under
2026-04-22vs NYY3Over
2026-04-23vs NYY1Under
2026-04-24vs BAL1Under
2026-04-25vs BAL1Under
2026-04-26vs BAL0Under
2026-04-27vs TOR0Under
2026-04-28vs TOR0Under
2026-04-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-01vs HOU1Under
2026-05-02vs HOU1Under
2026-05-03vs HOU2Over
2026-05-04vs DET3Over
2026-05-05vs DET0Under
2026-05-06vs DET0Under
2026-05-07vs TB1Under
2026-05-08vs TB1Under
2026-05-10vs TB1Under
2026-05-12vs PHI0Under
2026-05-13vs PHI0Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs ATL1Under
2026-05-17vs ATL2Over
2026-05-18vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs KC2Over
2026-05-20vs KC2Over
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN1Under
2026-05-24vs MIN1Under
2026-05-26vs ATL2Over
2026-05-27vs ATL4Over
2026-05-28vs ATL1Under
2026-05-29vs CLE1Under
2026-05-30vs CLE2Over
2026-05-31vs CLE1Under
2026-06-02vs BAL1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jarren Duran’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.