EdgeTake

C · NYY

J.C. Escarra — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Hits
11
Per Game
0.55
Projection
0.71
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

J.C. Escarra (NYY) has averaged 0.55 hits per game across 20 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.5. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 35% of games this season. Our projection of 0.71 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +146 at DraftKings — model 44% to hit, +7.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -196 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +146 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), J.C. Escarra went over in 7 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 0.71 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.21.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/2035%
1.53/2015%
2.51/205%

Share of 2026 games Escarra finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.55

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (9)
0.56
Away (11)
0.55
Home edge
+0.01

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-01vs SEA0Under
2026-04-04vs MIA0Under
2026-04-05vs MIA0Under
2026-04-08vs ATH0Under
2026-04-12vs TB0Under
2026-04-16vs LAA1Over
2026-04-18vs KC2Over
2026-04-25vs HOU2Over
2026-04-26vs HOU1Over
2026-04-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-02vs BAL1Over
2026-05-07vs TEX1Over
2026-05-10vs MIL0Under
2026-05-13vs BAL0Under
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-18vs TOR0Under
2026-05-21vs TOR0Under
2026-05-25vs KC3Over
2026-05-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-31vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See J.C. Escarra’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.