EdgeTake

2B · BAL

Jeremiah Jackson — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Hits
41
Per Game
0.85
Projection
0.68
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jeremiah Jackson (BAL) sits at 0.85 hits per game through 48 games, with the last 10 steady at 0.8. The over on 0.5 has hit in 65% of games. Our projection of 0.68 sits above the market line of 0.64.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +150 at BetMGM — model 45% to hit, +11.5% EV.

Over 0.5 -176 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +150 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jeremiah Jackson went over in 31 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 0.68 vs market line 0.64 — edge +0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.531/4865%
1.58/4817%
2.52/484%

Share of 2026 games Jackson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.85

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.92
Away (22)
0.77
Home edge
+0.15

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs MIN2Over
2026-03-29vs MIN1Over
2026-03-30vs TEX0Under
2026-03-31vs TEX0Under
2026-04-01vs TEX1Over
2026-04-03vs PIT0Under
2026-04-05vs PIT1Over
2026-04-06vs CWS1Over
2026-04-07vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs SF1Over
2026-04-11vs SF3Over
2026-04-12vs SF1Over
2026-04-13vs AZ3Over
2026-04-14vs AZ2Over
2026-04-15vs AZ2Over
2026-04-16vs CLE0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE1Over
2026-04-18vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE1Over
2026-04-20vs KC1Over
2026-04-21vs KC1Over
2026-04-22vs KC1Over
2026-04-24vs BOS0Under
2026-04-25vs BOS1Over
2026-04-26vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs HOU1Over
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-04-30vs HOU2Over
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY1Over
2026-05-04vs NYY1Over
2026-05-06vs MIA0Under
2026-05-07vs MIA1Over
2026-05-08vs ATH0Under
2026-05-09vs ATH1Over
2026-05-12vs NYY0Under
2026-05-15vs WSH1Over
2026-05-16vs WSH1Over
2026-05-17vs WSH2Over
2026-05-18vs TB2Over
2026-05-19vs TB0Under
2026-05-20vs TB1Over
2026-05-24vs DET1Over
2026-05-25vs TB1Over
2026-05-26vs TB1Over
2026-05-27vs TB0Under
2026-05-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-30vs TOR0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremiah Jackson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.