EdgeTake

2B · BAL

Jeremiah Jackson — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Home Runs
6
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jeremiah Jackson (BAL) has averaged 0.13 home runs per game across 48 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 10% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.08, short of the 1.3 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jeremiah Jackson went over in 5 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 1.3 — edge -1.22.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/4810%

Share of 2026 games Jackson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.13

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.19
Away (22)
0.05
Home edge
+0.15

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs MIN0Under
2026-03-29vs MIN0Under
2026-03-30vs TEX0Under
2026-03-31vs TEX0Under
2026-04-01vs TEX0Under
2026-04-03vs PIT0Under
2026-04-05vs PIT0Under
2026-04-06vs CWS0Under
2026-04-07vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs SF0Under
2026-04-11vs SF1Over
2026-04-12vs SF0Under
2026-04-13vs AZ2Over
2026-04-14vs AZ0Under
2026-04-15vs AZ1Over
2026-04-16vs CLE0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE1Over
2026-04-18vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC0Under
2026-04-21vs KC0Under
2026-04-22vs KC0Under
2026-04-24vs BOS0Under
2026-04-25vs BOS0Under
2026-04-26vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs HOU0Under
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-04-30vs HOU1Over
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY0Under
2026-05-04vs NYY0Under
2026-05-06vs MIA0Under
2026-05-07vs MIA0Under
2026-05-08vs ATH0Under
2026-05-09vs ATH0Under
2026-05-12vs NYY0Under
2026-05-15vs WSH0Under
2026-05-16vs WSH0Under
2026-05-17vs WSH0Under
2026-05-18vs TB0Under
2026-05-19vs TB0Under
2026-05-20vs TB0Under
2026-05-24vs DET0Under
2026-05-25vs TB0Under
2026-05-26vs TB0Under
2026-05-27vs TB0Under
2026-05-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-30vs TOR0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremiah Jackson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.