EdgeTake

2B · BAL

Jeremiah Jackson — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Runs
16
Per Game
0.33
Projection
0.33
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jeremiah Jackson (BAL) sits at 0.33 runs per game through 48 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.6 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 31% of games this season. We project 0.33, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +170 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -208 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jeremiah Jackson went over in 15 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 0.33 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.515/4831%
1.51/482%

Share of 2026 games Jackson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.33

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.38
Away (22)
0.27
Home edge
+0.11

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-28vs MIN0Under
2026-03-29vs MIN0Under
2026-03-30vs TEX0Under
2026-03-31vs TEX0Under
2026-04-01vs TEX0Under
2026-04-03vs PIT0Under
2026-04-05vs PIT0Under
2026-04-06vs CWS0Under
2026-04-07vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs SF1Over
2026-04-11vs SF1Over
2026-04-12vs SF0Under
2026-04-13vs AZ2Over
2026-04-14vs AZ0Under
2026-04-15vs AZ1Over
2026-04-16vs CLE0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE1Over
2026-04-18vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC1Over
2026-04-21vs KC1Over
2026-04-22vs KC1Over
2026-04-24vs BOS0Under
2026-04-25vs BOS0Under
2026-04-26vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs HOU0Under
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-04-30vs HOU1Over
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY0Under
2026-05-04vs NYY0Under
2026-05-06vs MIA0Under
2026-05-07vs MIA0Under
2026-05-08vs ATH0Under
2026-05-09vs ATH0Under
2026-05-12vs NYY0Under
2026-05-15vs WSH0Under
2026-05-16vs WSH0Under
2026-05-17vs WSH1Over
2026-05-18vs TB1Over
2026-05-19vs TB0Under
2026-05-20vs TB0Under
2026-05-24vs DET1Over
2026-05-25vs TB1Over
2026-05-26vs TB1Over
2026-05-27vs TB0Under
2026-05-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-30vs TOR1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremiah Jackson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.