EdgeTake

SS · HOU

Jeremy Peña — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
24
Hits
27
Per Game
1.13
Projection
1.11
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jeremy Peña (HOU) sits at 1.13 hits per game through 24 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.2. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 79% of games this season. Our model projects 1.11, a step above the market line of 0.83.

Next matchup

Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -210 at BetRivers — model 66% to hit, -3.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -210 BetRiversUnder 0.5 +165 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Jeremy Peña went over in 19 of 24 2026 games.

Our projection 1.11 vs market line 0.83 — edge +0.28.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/2479%
1.57/2429%
2.51/244%

Share of 2026 games Peña finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.13

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (7)
1.29
Away (17)
1.06
Home edge
+0.23

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAA2Over
2026-03-29vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS1Over
2026-04-04vs ATH1Over
2026-04-04vs ATH2Over
2026-04-07vs COL2Over
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL1Over
2026-04-11vs SEA1Over
2026-04-12vs SEA1Over
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN2Over
2026-05-20vs MIN1Over
2026-05-22vs CHC1Over
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC1Over
2026-05-25vs TEX1Over
2026-05-27vs TEX1Over
2026-05-28vs TEX1Over
2026-05-29vs TEX2Over
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL3Over
2026-05-31vs MIL1Over
2026-06-03vs PIT2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremy Peña’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.