EdgeTake

SS · HOU

Jeremy Peña — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
24
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.13
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jeremy Peña (HOU) sits at 0.13 home runs per game through 24 games, trending up to 0.3 across the last 10. 13% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.13 comes in under the market line of 1.25.

Next matchup

Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jeremy Peña went over in 3 of 24 2026 games.

Our projection 0.13 vs market line 1.25 — edge -1.12.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/2413%

Share of 2026 games Peña finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.13

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (7)
0.14
Away (17)
0.12
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-29vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-07vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-11vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN0Under
2026-05-20vs MIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CHC0Under
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC0Under
2026-05-25vs TEX0Under
2026-05-27vs TEX1Over
2026-05-28vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX1Over
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL1Over
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremy Peña’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.