EdgeTake

SS · HOU

Jeremy Peña — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
24
Total Bases
40
Per Game
1.67
Projection
1.69
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Jeremy Peña (HOU) sits at 1.67 total bases per game through 24 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 2.1. The over on 1.5 has hit in 38% of games. We project 1.69, ahead of the 1.47 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +155 at BetRivers — model 39% to hit, +0.6% EV.

Over 1.5 +155 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -190 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Jeremy Peña went over in 9 of 24 2026 games.

Our projection 1.69 vs market line 1.47 — edge +0.22.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/2479%
1.59/2438%
2.55/2421%
3.54/2417%

Share of 2026 games Peña finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.10
Season avg
1.67

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (7)
1.71
Away (17)
1.65
Home edge
+0.07

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-28vs LAA2Over
2026-03-29vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS1Under
2026-04-04vs ATH2Over
2026-04-04vs ATH4Over
2026-04-07vs COL3Over
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL1Under
2026-04-11vs SEA1Under
2026-04-12vs SEA1Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN2Over
2026-05-20vs MIN1Under
2026-05-22vs CHC1Under
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC1Under
2026-05-25vs TEX1Under
2026-05-27vs TEX4Over
2026-05-28vs TEX1Under
2026-05-29vs TEX5Over
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL6Over
2026-05-31vs MIL1Under
2026-06-03vs PIT2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jeremy Peña’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.