EdgeTake

C · SF

Jesus Rodriguez — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
14
Hits
9
Per Game
0.64
Projection
0.63
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jesus Rodriguez (SF) sits at 0.64 hits per game through 14 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.4. 50% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.63, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -189 at DraftKings — model 55% to hit, -16.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -189 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +157 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jesus Rodriguez went over in 7 of 14 2026 games.

Our projection 0.63 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/1450%
1.52/1414%
2.50/140%

Share of 2026 games Rodriguez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.64

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (8)
1.00
Away (6)
0.17
Home edge
+0.83

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-05vs SD0Under
2026-05-06vs SD2Over
2026-05-06vs SD2Over
2026-05-09vs PIT1Over
2026-05-10vs PIT1Over
2026-05-12vs LAD0Under
2026-05-14vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-19vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS1Over
2026-05-24vs CWS1Over
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-31vs COL1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jesus Rodriguez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.