EdgeTake

C · SF

Jesus Rodriguez — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
14
Total Bases
15
Per Game
1.07
Projection
1.06
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Jesus Rodriguez (SF) sits at 1.07 total bases per game through 14 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.7 over the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 21% of games this season. Our model projects 1.06, below the market line of 1.13.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +150 at BetMGM — model 42% to hit, +4.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -190 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +150 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Jesus Rodriguez went over in 3 of 14 2026 games.

Our projection 1.06 vs market line 1.13 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/1450%
1.53/1421%
2.52/1414%
3.52/1414%

Share of 2026 games Rodriguez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
1.07

Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (8)
1.38
Away (6)
0.67
Home edge
+0.71

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-05vs SD0Under
2026-05-06vs SD5Over
2026-05-06vs SD2Over
2026-05-09vs PIT1Under
2026-05-10vs PIT1Under
2026-05-12vs LAD0Under
2026-05-14vs LAD0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-19vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS1Under
2026-05-24vs CWS1Under
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-31vs COL4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jesus Rodriguez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.