EdgeTake

C · SEA

Jhonny Pereda — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
12
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.17
Projection
0.1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jhonny Pereda (SEA) sits at 0.17 home runs per game through 12 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.2 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 17% of games this season. Our model projects 0.1, below the market line of 0.86.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +950 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jhonny Pereda went over in 2 of 12 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 0.86 — edge -0.76.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/1217%

Share of 2026 games Pereda finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.17

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (9)
0.22
Away (3)
0.00
Home edge
+0.22

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-03vs KC0Under
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-19vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS1Over
2026-05-23vs KC0Under
2026-05-26vs ATH0Under
2026-05-27vs ATH0Under
2026-05-30vs AZ0Under
2026-05-31vs AZ0Under
2026-06-03vs NYM1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jhonny Pereda’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.