EdgeTake

RF · PIT

Jhostynxon Garcia — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
9
Runs
1
Per Game
0.11
Projection
0.33
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT) has averaged 0.11 runs per game across 9 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.11 over the last 10. 11% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.33 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +159 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -223 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jhostynxon Garcia went over in 1 of 9 2026 games.

Our projection 0.33 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/911%
1.50/90%

Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 9 avg
0.11
Season avg
0.11

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 9 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.25
Away (5)
0.00
Home edge
+0.25

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-19vs STL0Under
2026-05-20vs STL0Under
2026-05-22vs TOR0Under
2026-05-23vs TOR0Under
2026-05-24vs TOR0Under
2026-05-25vs CHC0Under
2026-05-26vs CHC0Under
2026-05-28vs CHC1Over
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jhostynxon Garcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.