LF · CIN
JJ Bleday — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
JJ Bleday (CIN) sits at 0.59 runs per game through 32 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 44% of games this season. We project 0.57, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), JJ Bleday went over in 14 of 32 2026 games.
Our projection 0.57 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 14/32 | 44% |
| 1.5 | 4/32 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Bleday finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See JJ Bleday’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.