EdgeTake

LF · CIN

JJ Bleday — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
32
Total Bases
74
Per Game
2.31
Projection
2.05
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 32 games this season, JJ Bleday (CIN) is averaging 2.31 total bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 2.5. The over on 1.5 has hit in 59% of games. We project 2.05, ahead of the 1.23 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +123 at BetRivers — model 46% to hit, +1.9% EV.

Over 1.5 +123 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -139 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), JJ Bleday went over in 19 of 32 2026 games.

Our projection 2.05 vs market line 1.23 — edge +0.82.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.521/3266%
1.519/3259%
2.513/3241%
3.511/3234%

Share of 2026 games Bleday finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.50
Season avg
2.31

Over 1.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
2.44
Away (16)
2.19
Home edge
+0.25

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-26vs DET4Over
2026-04-29vs COL1Under
2026-04-30vs COL0Under
2026-05-01vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs PIT6Over
2026-05-03vs PIT1Under
2026-05-04vs CHC4Over
2026-05-05vs CHC4Over
2026-05-06vs CHC2Over
2026-05-07vs CHC2Over
2026-05-08vs HOU0Under
2026-05-09vs HOU0Under
2026-05-10vs HOU3Over
2026-05-12vs WSH2Over
2026-05-13vs WSH2Over
2026-05-14vs WSH9Over
2026-05-15vs CLE5Over
2026-05-16vs CLE0Under
2026-05-17vs CLE0Under
2026-05-18vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs PHI2Over
2026-05-20vs PHI2Over
2026-05-22vs STL0Under
2026-05-23vs STL0Under
2026-05-25vs NYM4Over
2026-05-26vs NYM3Over
2026-05-27vs NYM0Under
2026-05-29vs ATL5Over
2026-05-30vs ATL5Over
2026-05-31vs ATL4Over
2026-06-01vs KC4Over
2026-06-02vs KC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See JJ Bleday’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.