C · MIA
Joe Mack — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Joe Mack (MIA) has averaged 0.65 hits per game across 23 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 57% of games this season. Our projection of 0.67 sits above the market line of 0.65.
Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +125 at DraftKings — model 47% to hit, +5.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Joe Mack went over in 13 of 23 2026 games.
Our projection 0.67 vs market line 0.65 — edge +0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 13/23 | 57% |
| 1.5 | 2/23 | 9% |
| 2.5 | 0/23 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Mack finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Joe Mack’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.