SS · MIL
Joey Ortiz — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Joey Ortiz (MIL) sits at 0.55 hits per game through 42 games, tracking close to that at 0.5 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 45% of games this season. We project 0.7, ahead of the 0.54 market line.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +115 at BetMGM — model 47% to hit, -0.0% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Joey Ortiz went over in 19 of 42 2026 games.
Our projection 0.7 vs market line 0.54 — edge +0.16.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 19/42 | 45% |
| 1.5 | 4/42 | 10% |
| 2.5 | 0/42 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Ortiz finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Joey Ortiz’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.