SS · MIL
Joey Ortiz — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 42 games this season, Joey Ortiz (MIL) is averaging 0.33 runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. They've gone over 0.5 in 31% of those games. We project 0.46, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Joey Ortiz went over in 13 of 42 2026 games.
Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 13/42 | 31% |
| 1.5 | 1/42 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Ortiz finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Joey Ortiz’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.