EdgeTake

C · ATH

Jonah Heim — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
22
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.09
Projection
0.1
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Jonah Heim (ATH) sits at 0.09 home runs per game through 22 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 0% of games this season. Our projection of 0.1 comes in under the market line of 1.25.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Jonah Heim went over in 0 of 22 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.25 — edge -1.15.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/229%

Share of 2026 games Heim finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.09

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (10)
0.10
Away (12)
0.08
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs KC0Under
2026-03-30vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs AZ0Under
2026-04-08vs LAA0Under
2026-04-08vs LAA0Under
2026-04-11vs CLE0Under
2026-04-18vs PHI0Under
2026-04-21vs WSH0Under
2026-04-22vs WSH0Under
2026-04-29vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs COL0Under
2026-05-03vs COL1Under
2026-05-06vs PHI0Under
2026-05-10vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs STL0Under
2026-05-14vs STL0Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jonah Heim’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.