1B · TB
Jonathan Aranda — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jonathan Aranda (TB) has averaged 1 hits per game across 58 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 64% of games this season. Our model projects 0.95, a step above the market line of 0.72.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +161 at DraftKings — model 37% to hit, -2.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jonathan Aranda went over in 37 of 58 2026 games.
Our projection 0.95 vs market line 0.72 — edge +0.23.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 37/58 | 64% |
| 1.5 | 16/58 | 28% |
| 2.5 | 4/58 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Aranda finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SF | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TOR | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jonathan Aranda’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.