EdgeTake

RF · TB

Jonny DeLuca — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
37
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.05
Projection
0.07
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jonny DeLuca (TB) sits at 0.05 home runs per game through 37 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 5% of games. Our model projects 0.07, below the market line of 0.83.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +950 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jonny DeLuca went over in 2 of 37 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.76.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/375%

Share of 2026 games DeLuca finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.05

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.00
Away (18)
0.11
Home edge
-0.11

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL0Under
2026-03-29vs STL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIL1Over
2026-03-31vs MIL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIL0Under
2026-04-03vs MIN0Under
2026-04-05vs MIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CHC0Under
2026-04-10vs NYY0Under
2026-04-11vs NYY0Under
2026-04-14vs CWS0Under
2026-04-15vs CWS1Over
2026-04-16vs CWS0Under
2026-04-18vs PIT0Under
2026-04-19vs PIT0Under
2026-04-21vs CIN0Under
2026-04-22vs CIN0Under
2026-04-24vs MIN0Under
2026-04-25vs MIN0Under
2026-04-27vs CLE0Under
2026-05-01vs SF0Under
2026-05-02vs SF0Under
2026-05-03vs SF0Under
2026-05-04vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs TOR0Under
2026-05-06vs TOR0Under
2026-05-07vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs BOS0Under
2026-05-10vs BOS0Under
2026-05-12vs TOR0Under
2026-05-15vs MIA0Under
2026-05-16vs MIA0Under
2026-05-17vs MIA0Under
2026-05-18vs BAL0Under
2026-05-19vs BAL0Under
2026-05-20vs BAL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYY0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jonny DeLuca’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.