RF · STL
Jordan Walker — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 58 games this season, Jordan Walker (STL) is averaging 0.67 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.5. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 55% of games this season. We project 0.46, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jordan Walker went over in 32 of 58 2026 games.
Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 32/58 | 55% |
| 1.5 | 6/58 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Walker finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jordan Walker’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.