EdgeTake

CF · AZ

Jorge Barrosa — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
34
Hits
16
Per Game
0.47
Projection
0.45
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jorge Barrosa (AZ) has averaged 0.47 hits per game across 34 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 41% of games. We project 0.45, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +100 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, +10.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -131 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +100 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jorge Barrosa went over in 14 of 34 2026 games.

Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.514/3441%
1.52/346%
2.50/340%

Share of 2026 games Barrosa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.47

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.29
Away (17)
0.65
Home edge
-0.35

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-29vs LAD1Over
2026-04-03vs ATL1Over
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL1Over
2026-04-07vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM1Over
2026-04-09vs NYM1Over
2026-04-10vs PHI1Over
2026-04-11vs PHI1Over
2026-04-12vs PHI0Under
2026-04-13vs BAL2Over
2026-04-14vs BAL1Over
2026-04-15vs BAL1Over
2026-04-18vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR1Over
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC2Over
2026-05-02vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-10vs NYM1Over
2026-05-19vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jorge Barrosa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.