EdgeTake

CF · AZ

Jorge Barrosa — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
34
Runs
11
Per Game
0.32
Projection
0.34
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 34 games this season, Jorge Barrosa (AZ) is averaging 0.32 runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.2. They've gone over 0.5 in 26% of those games. Our projection of 0.34 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +173 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -225 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jorge Barrosa went over in 9 of 34 2026 games.

Our projection 0.34 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.16.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/3426%
1.52/346%

Share of 2026 games Barrosa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.32

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.35
Away (17)
0.29
Home edge
+0.06

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-29vs LAD1Over
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL2Over
2026-04-07vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM1Over
2026-04-09vs NYM0Under
2026-04-10vs PHI0Under
2026-04-11vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI0Under
2026-04-13vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs BAL1Over
2026-04-15vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR1Over
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC2Over
2026-05-02vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-10vs NYM1Over
2026-05-19vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jorge Barrosa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.