SS · ATL
Jorge Mateo — Stolen Bases
2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jorge Mateo (ATL) has averaged 0.17 stolen bases per game across 29 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. 17% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.18, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Jorge Mateo went over in 5 of 29 2026 games.
Our projection 0.18 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.32.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/29 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Mateo finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases
| Date | Opp | Stolen Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jorge Mateo’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.