SS · ATL
Jorge Mateo — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 29 games this season, Jorge Mateo (ATL) is averaging 1.41 total bases per game, trending up to 1.8 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 52% of games this season. Our model projects 1.46, a step above the market line of 0.77.
Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -135 at BetMGM — model 59% to hit, +2.2% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jorge Mateo went over in 15 of 29 2026 games.
Our projection 1.46 vs market line 0.77 — edge +0.69.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/29 | 52% |
| 1.5 | 12/29 | 41% |
| 2.5 | 8/29 | 28% |
| 3.5 | 5/29 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Mateo finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jorge Mateo’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.