EdgeTake

SS · NYY

José Caballero — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
49
Hits
42
Per Game
0.86
Projection
0.98
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 49 games this season, José Caballero (NYY) is averaging 0.86 hits per game, tracking close to that at 0.8 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 57% of games this season. We project 0.98, ahead of the 0.6 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -114 at DraftKings — model 57% to hit, +6.5% EV.

Over 0.5 -114 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -105 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), José Caballero went over in 28 of 49 2026 games.

Our projection 0.98 vs market line 0.6 — edge +0.38.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.528/4957%
1.512/4924%
2.52/494%

Share of 2026 games Caballero finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.86

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.77
Away (27)
0.93
Home edge
-0.15

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs SF1Over
2026-03-27vs SF2Over
2026-03-28vs SF0Under
2026-03-31vs SEA1Over
2026-04-01vs SEA0Under
2026-04-01vs SEA0Under
2026-04-03vs MIA0Under
2026-04-04vs MIA0Under
2026-04-05vs MIA0Under
2026-04-07vs ATH2Over
2026-04-09vs ATH0Under
2026-04-10vs TB0Under
2026-04-11vs TB2Over
2026-04-12vs TB0Under
2026-04-13vs LAA2Over
2026-04-14vs LAA0Under
2026-04-15vs LAA1Over
2026-04-16vs LAA3Over
2026-04-17vs KC0Under
2026-04-18vs KC2Over
2026-04-19vs KC1Over
2026-04-21vs BOS1Over
2026-04-22vs BOS1Over
2026-04-23vs BOS2Over
2026-04-25vs HOU2Over
2026-04-25vs HOU3Over
2026-04-26vs HOU0Under
2026-04-28vs TEX1Over
2026-04-29vs TEX0Under
2026-04-29vs TEX1Over
2026-05-01vs BAL1Over
2026-05-02vs BAL0Under
2026-05-03vs BAL1Over
2026-05-04vs BAL1Over
2026-05-05vs TEX1Over
2026-05-06vs TEX0Under
2026-05-07vs TEX0Under
2026-05-08vs MIL2Over
2026-05-09vs MIL0Under
2026-05-10vs MIL1Over
2026-05-22vs TB2Over
2026-05-24vs TB0Under
2026-05-25vs KC1Over
2026-05-26vs KC0Under
2026-05-27vs KC1Over
2026-05-30vs ATH2Over
2026-05-31vs ATH0Under
2026-05-31vs ATH1Over
2026-06-02vs CLE0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See José Caballero’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.