EdgeTake

DH · AZ

Jose Fernandez — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
50
Hits
41
Per Game
0.82
Projection
0.69
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jose Fernandez (AZ) has averaged 0.82 hits per game across 50 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 54% of games. We project 0.69, ahead of the 0.55 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -115 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Jose Fernandez went over in 27 of 50 2026 games.

Our projection 0.69 vs market line 0.55 — edge +0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.527/5054%
1.511/5022%
2.53/506%

Share of 2026 games Fernandez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.82

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
0.80
Away (25)
0.84
Home edge
-0.04

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-01vs DET3Over
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL1Over
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM2Over
2026-04-09vs NYM2Over
2026-04-10vs PHI1Over
2026-04-11vs PHI1Over
2026-04-12vs PHI2Over
2026-04-13vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs BAL2Over
2026-04-15vs BAL1Over
2026-04-18vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR1Over
2026-04-22vs CWS1Over
2026-04-23vs CWS2Over
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD2Over
2026-04-26vs SD3Over
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL1Over
2026-05-01vs CHC1Over
2026-05-02vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM1Over
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX0Under
2026-05-14vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs COL1Over
2026-05-16vs COL2Over
2026-05-17vs COL1Over
2026-05-19vs SF1Over
2026-05-20vs SF2Over
2026-05-22vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-25vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-30vs SEA3Over
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jose Fernandez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.