DH · AZ
Jose Fernandez — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 50 games this season, Jose Fernandez (AZ) is averaging 0.06 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 4% of games. Our projection of 0.07 comes in under the market line of 0.97.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jose Fernandez went over in 2 of 50 2026 games.
Our projection 0.07 vs market line 0.97 — edge -0.9.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/50 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Fernandez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jose Fernandez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.