DH · AZ
Jose Fernandez — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 50 games this season, Jose Fernandez (AZ) is averaging 0.44 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 34% of games. Our model projects 0.34, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jose Fernandez went over in 17 of 50 2026 games.
Our projection 0.34 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.16.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 17/50 | 34% |
| 1.5 | 4/50 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Fernandez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jose Fernandez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.