EdgeTake

DH · AZ

Jose Fernandez — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
50
Total Bases
57
Per Game
1.14
Projection
0.99
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 50 games this season, Jose Fernandez (AZ) is averaging 1.14 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.8. The over on 1.5 has hit in 26% of games. Our projection of 0.99 comes in under the market line of 1.1.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 1.5 +255 BetRivers

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Jose Fernandez went over in 13 of 50 2026 games.

Our projection 0.99 vs market line 1.1 — edge -0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.527/5054%
1.513/5026%
2.56/5012%
3.53/506%

Share of 2026 games Fernandez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
1.14

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
1.20
Away (25)
1.08
Home edge
+0.12

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-01vs DET9Over
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL1Under
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM2Over
2026-04-09vs NYM3Over
2026-04-10vs PHI1Under
2026-04-11vs PHI1Under
2026-04-12vs PHI2Over
2026-04-13vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs BAL3Over
2026-04-15vs BAL1Under
2026-04-18vs TOR1Under
2026-04-19vs TOR1Under
2026-04-19vs TOR1Under
2026-04-22vs CWS1Under
2026-04-23vs CWS2Over
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD3Over
2026-04-26vs SD6Over
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL1Under
2026-05-01vs CHC1Under
2026-05-02vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM1Under
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX0Under
2026-05-14vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs COL2Over
2026-05-16vs COL2Over
2026-05-17vs COL1Under
2026-05-19vs SF1Under
2026-05-20vs SF2Over
2026-05-22vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-25vs SF2Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-30vs SEA5Over
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jose Fernandez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.