EdgeTake

DH · MIN

Josh Bell — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Home Runs
5
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.13
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Josh Bell (MIN) has averaged 0.08 home runs per game across 59 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 7% of games this season. We project 0.13, short of the 0.94 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +525 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Josh Bell went over in 4 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 0.13 vs market line 0.94 — edge -0.81.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/597%

Share of 2026 games Bell finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.10
Away (30)
0.07
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BAL0Under
2026-03-28vs BAL0Under
2026-03-29vs BAL0Under
2026-03-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-01vs KC1Over
2026-04-02vs KC1Over
2026-04-03vs TB0Under
2026-04-04vs TB0Under
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-06vs DET0Under
2026-04-07vs DET0Under
2026-04-08vs DET0Under
2026-04-09vs DET1Over
2026-04-10vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TOR0Under
2026-04-12vs TOR0Under
2026-04-13vs BOS0Under
2026-04-14vs BOS0Under
2026-04-15vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-19vs CIN0Under
2026-04-21vs NYM0Under
2026-04-22vs NYM0Under
2026-04-23vs NYM0Under
2026-04-25vs TB0Under
2026-04-26vs TB0Under
2026-04-27vs SEA0Under
2026-04-28vs SEA0Under
2026-04-29vs SEA0Under
2026-04-30vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs WSH0Under
2026-05-06vs WSH0Under
2026-05-07vs WSH0Under
2026-05-08vs CLE0Under
2026-05-09vs CLE0Under
2026-05-10vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs MIA0Under
2026-05-13vs MIA0Under
2026-05-14vs MIA0Under
2026-05-15vs MIL0Under
2026-05-16vs MIL0Under
2026-05-18vs HOU2Over
2026-05-19vs HOU0Under
2026-05-20vs HOU0Under
2026-05-22vs BOS0Under
2026-05-23vs BOS0Under
2026-05-24vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-26vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-28vs CWS0Under
2026-05-29vs PIT0Under
2026-05-30vs PIT0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT0Under
2026-06-01vs CWS0Under
2026-06-02vs CWS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Josh Bell’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.