EdgeTake

DH · MIN

Josh Bell — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Runs
29
Per Game
0.49
Projection
0.47
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Josh Bell (MIN) has averaged 0.49 runs per game across 59 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 34% of games. We project 0.47, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +145 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -182 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Josh Bell went over in 20 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 0.47 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.520/5934%
1.58/5914%

Share of 2026 games Bell finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.49

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.48
Away (30)
0.50
Home edge
-0.02

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BAL0Under
2026-03-28vs BAL0Under
2026-03-29vs BAL2Over
2026-03-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-01vs KC3Over
2026-04-02vs KC2Over
2026-04-03vs TB2Over
2026-04-04vs TB0Under
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-06vs DET0Under
2026-04-07vs DET0Under
2026-04-08vs DET1Over
2026-04-09vs DET1Over
2026-04-10vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TOR1Over
2026-04-12vs TOR2Over
2026-04-13vs BOS1Over
2026-04-14vs BOS0Under
2026-04-15vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN2Over
2026-04-19vs CIN0Under
2026-04-21vs NYM0Under
2026-04-22vs NYM0Under
2026-04-23vs NYM1Over
2026-04-25vs TB0Under
2026-04-26vs TB0Under
2026-04-27vs SEA2Over
2026-04-28vs SEA0Under
2026-04-29vs SEA0Under
2026-04-30vs TOR1Over
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs WSH0Under
2026-05-06vs WSH0Under
2026-05-07vs WSH0Under
2026-05-08vs CLE0Under
2026-05-09vs CLE0Under
2026-05-10vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs MIA0Under
2026-05-13vs MIA0Under
2026-05-14vs MIA0Under
2026-05-15vs MIL0Under
2026-05-16vs MIL0Under
2026-05-18vs HOU2Over
2026-05-19vs HOU0Under
2026-05-20vs HOU0Under
2026-05-22vs BOS1Over
2026-05-23vs BOS0Under
2026-05-24vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-26vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-28vs CWS1Over
2026-05-29vs PIT1Over
2026-05-30vs PIT1Over
2026-05-31vs PIT0Under
2026-06-01vs CWS1Over
2026-06-02vs CWS1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Josh Bell’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.