EdgeTake

LF · LAA

Josh Lowe — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
41
Hits
23
Per Game
0.56
Projection
0.89
Current Line
2.5
Outlook

Josh Lowe (LAA) has averaged 0.56 hits per game across 41 games this season, trending up to 0.9 across the last 10. That 2.5 line has been cleared in 2% of games this season. We project 0.89, short of the 1.25 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -101 at DraftKings — model 54% to hit, +6.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -101 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -115 BetMGM

At a line of 2.5 (betonlineag), Josh Lowe went over in 1 of 41 2026 games.

Our projection 0.89 vs market line 1.25 — edge -0.36.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.517/4141%
1.55/4112%
2.51/412%

Share of 2026 games Lowe finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.56

Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.43
Away (18)
0.72
Home edge
-0.29

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs HOU0Under
2026-03-28vs HOU2Under
2026-03-28vs HOU0Under
2026-03-29vs HOU0Under
2026-03-30vs CHC0Under
2026-03-31vs CHC0Under
2026-04-04vs SEA0Under
2026-04-05vs SEA1Under
2026-04-05vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL0Under
2026-04-10vs CIN2Under
2026-04-13vs NYY0Under
2026-04-15vs NYY1Under
2026-04-16vs NYY1Under
2026-04-18vs SD2Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-21vs TOR1Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-25vs KC0Under
2026-04-26vs KC3Over
2026-04-28vs CWS1Under
2026-04-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-02vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-05vs CWS0Under
2026-05-06vs CWS0Under
2026-05-08vs TOR0Under
2026-05-09vs TOR2Under
2026-05-11vs CLE1Under
2026-05-12vs CLE0Under
2026-05-16vs LAD1Under
2026-05-17vs LAD1Under
2026-05-17vs LAD1Under
2026-05-19vs ATH0Under
2026-05-20vs ATH1Under
2026-05-21vs ATH1Under
2026-05-22vs ATH1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Josh Lowe’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.