EdgeTake

LF · LAA

Josh Lowe — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
41
Total Bases
40
Per Game
0.98
Projection
1.51
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Josh Lowe (LAA) has averaged 0.98 total bases per game across 41 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 1.3 over the last 10. 20% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 1.51 sits above the market line of 1.07.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -108 at Caesars — model 56% to hit, +8.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -108 CaesarsUnder 0.5 -115 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Josh Lowe went over in 8 of 41 2026 games.

Our projection 1.51 vs market line 1.07 — edge +0.44.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.517/4141%
1.58/4120%
2.56/4115%
3.55/4112%

Share of 2026 games Lowe finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.30
Season avg
0.98

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.74
Away (18)
1.28
Home edge
-0.54

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs HOU0Under
2026-03-28vs HOU6Over
2026-03-28vs HOU0Under
2026-03-29vs HOU0Under
2026-03-30vs CHC0Under
2026-03-31vs CHC0Under
2026-04-04vs SEA0Under
2026-04-05vs SEA1Under
2026-04-05vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL0Under
2026-04-08vs ATL0Under
2026-04-10vs CIN5Over
2026-04-13vs NYY0Under
2026-04-15vs NYY1Under
2026-04-16vs NYY1Under
2026-04-18vs SD5Over
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-21vs TOR1Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-25vs KC0Under
2026-04-26vs KC3Over
2026-04-28vs CWS4Over
2026-04-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-02vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-05vs CWS0Under
2026-05-06vs CWS0Under
2026-05-08vs TOR0Under
2026-05-09vs TOR2Over
2026-05-11vs CLE1Under
2026-05-12vs CLE0Under
2026-05-16vs LAD1Under
2026-05-17vs LAD1Under
2026-05-17vs LAD1Under
2026-05-19vs ATH0Under
2026-05-20vs ATH2Over
2026-05-21vs ATH4Over
2026-05-22vs ATH1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Josh Lowe’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.