EdgeTake

SS · SEA

J.P. Crawford — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Runs
29
Per Game
0.55
Projection
0.53
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

J.P. Crawford (SEA) sits at 0.55 runs per game through 53 games, with the last 10 steady at 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 42% of games this season. We project 0.53, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +117 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -140 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), J.P. Crawford went over in 22 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 0.53 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.522/5342%
1.55/539%

Share of 2026 games Crawford finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.55

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.65
Away (27)
0.44
Home edge
+0.21

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-04vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs LAA1Over
2026-04-07vs TEX0Under
2026-04-08vs TEX0Under
2026-04-08vs TEX0Under
2026-04-11vs HOU1Over
2026-04-12vs HOU2Over
2026-04-12vs HOU1Over
2026-04-13vs HOU0Under
2026-04-15vs SD0Under
2026-04-17vs SD0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX1Over
2026-04-19vs TEX1Over
2026-04-21vs ATH0Under
2026-04-22vs ATH0Under
2026-04-22vs ATH2Over
2026-04-25vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs STL1Over
2026-04-26vs STL0Under
2026-04-27vs MIN1Over
2026-04-28vs MIN1Over
2026-04-29vs MIN1Over
2026-05-02vs KC2Over
2026-05-03vs KC0Under
2026-05-03vs KC0Under
2026-05-05vs ATL1Over
2026-05-06vs ATL1Over
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-08vs CWS2Over
2026-05-09vs CWS0Under
2026-05-10vs CWS0Under
2026-05-12vs HOU0Under
2026-05-13vs HOU1Over
2026-05-14vs HOU1Over
2026-05-14vs HOU1Over
2026-05-16vs SD0Under
2026-05-16vs SD1Over
2026-05-17vs SD0Under
2026-05-19vs CWS0Under
2026-05-20vs CWS0Under
2026-05-22vs KC0Under
2026-05-23vs KC0Under
2026-05-24vs KC0Under
2026-05-26vs ATH1Over
2026-05-27vs ATH0Under
2026-05-27vs ATH1Over
2026-05-30vs AZ4Over
2026-05-31vs AZ0Under
2026-05-31vs AZ0Under
2026-06-02vs NYM0Under
2026-06-03vs NYM0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See J.P. Crawford’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.