EdgeTake

C · PHI

J.T. Realmuto — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
38
Hits
28
Per Game
0.74
Projection
0.91
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 38 games this season, J.T. Realmuto (PHI) is averaging 0.74 hits per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.6. The over on 0.5 has hit in 50% of games. Our projection of 0.91 sits above the market line of 0.68.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +140 at BetMGM — model 40% to hit, -5.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -190 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +140 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), J.T. Realmuto went over in 19 of 38 2026 games.

Our projection 0.91 vs market line 0.68 — edge +0.23.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/3850%
1.58/3821%
2.51/383%

Share of 2026 games Realmuto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.74

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.86
Away (16)
0.56
Home edge
+0.30

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TEX0Under
2026-03-28vs TEX1Over
2026-03-29vs TEX0Under
2026-03-31vs WSH0Under
2026-04-01vs WSH2Over
2026-04-03vs COL1Over
2026-04-05vs COL0Under
2026-04-07vs SF2Over
2026-04-10vs AZ1Over
2026-04-11vs AZ0Under
2026-04-13vs CHC3Over
2026-04-14vs CHC2Over
2026-04-15vs CHC0Under
2026-04-17vs ATL2Over
2026-04-18vs ATL0Under
2026-04-21vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs MIA0Under
2026-05-03vs MIA1Over
2026-05-05vs ATH1Over
2026-05-06vs ATH2Over
2026-05-08vs COL1Over
2026-05-09vs COL1Over
2026-05-10vs COL0Under
2026-05-12vs BOS0Under
2026-05-13vs BOS0Under
2026-05-14vs BOS1Over
2026-05-16vs PIT0Under
2026-05-17vs PIT1Over
2026-05-18vs CIN0Under
2026-05-20vs CIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CLE1Over
2026-05-23vs CLE2Over
2026-05-24vs CLE0Under
2026-05-27vs SD2Over
2026-05-27vs SD1Over
2026-05-30vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See J.T. Realmuto’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.