EdgeTake

C · PHI

J.T. Realmuto — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
38
Runs
11
Per Game
0.29
Projection
0.44
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

J.T. Realmuto (PHI) has averaged 0.29 runs per game across 38 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.1. 29% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.44, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +145 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -200 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), J.T. Realmuto went over in 11 of 38 2026 games.

Our projection 0.44 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.511/3829%
1.50/380%

Share of 2026 games Realmuto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.29

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.23
Away (16)
0.38
Home edge
-0.15

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TEX0Under
2026-03-28vs TEX1Over
2026-03-29vs TEX0Under
2026-03-31vs WSH0Under
2026-04-01vs WSH1Over
2026-04-03vs COL1Over
2026-04-05vs COL0Under
2026-04-07vs SF1Over
2026-04-10vs AZ0Under
2026-04-11vs AZ0Under
2026-04-13vs CHC0Under
2026-04-14vs CHC1Over
2026-04-15vs CHC0Under
2026-04-17vs ATL0Under
2026-04-18vs ATL0Under
2026-04-21vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs MIA0Under
2026-05-03vs MIA1Over
2026-05-05vs ATH1Over
2026-05-06vs ATH0Under
2026-05-08vs COL0Under
2026-05-09vs COL1Over
2026-05-10vs COL0Under
2026-05-12vs BOS0Under
2026-05-13vs BOS0Under
2026-05-14vs BOS0Under
2026-05-16vs PIT1Over
2026-05-17vs PIT1Over
2026-05-18vs CIN0Under
2026-05-20vs CIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CLE0Under
2026-05-23vs CLE0Under
2026-05-24vs CLE0Under
2026-05-27vs SD1Over
2026-05-27vs SD0Under
2026-05-30vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs LAD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See J.T. Realmuto’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.