EdgeTake

3B · TB

Junior Caminero — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Runs
37
Per Game
0.64
Projection
0.56
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Junior Caminero (TB) is averaging 0.64 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.6. 50% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.56, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -118 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -110 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Junior Caminero went over in 29 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.56 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.529/5850%
1.56/5810%

Share of 2026 games Caminero finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.64

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.72
Away (29)
0.55
Home edge
+0.17

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL1Over
2026-03-28vs STL1Over
2026-03-29vs STL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIL0Under
2026-03-31vs MIL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIL0Under
2026-04-03vs MIN1Over
2026-04-04vs MIN0Under
2026-04-05vs MIN1Over
2026-04-06vs CHC1Over
2026-04-07vs CHC0Under
2026-04-08vs CHC0Under
2026-04-10vs NYY0Under
2026-04-11vs NYY1Over
2026-04-12vs NYY0Under
2026-04-14vs CWS1Over
2026-04-15vs CWS2Over
2026-04-16vs CWS1Over
2026-04-17vs PIT0Under
2026-04-18vs PIT1Over
2026-04-19vs PIT1Over
2026-04-20vs CIN0Under
2026-04-21vs CIN2Over
2026-04-22vs CIN1Over
2026-04-24vs MIN2Over
2026-04-25vs MIN0Under
2026-04-26vs MIN0Under
2026-04-27vs CLE0Under
2026-04-28vs CLE0Under
2026-04-29vs CLE0Under
2026-05-01vs SF1Over
2026-05-02vs SF1Over
2026-05-03vs SF1Over
2026-05-04vs TOR1Over
2026-05-05vs TOR0Under
2026-05-06vs TOR0Under
2026-05-07vs BOS2Over
2026-05-08vs BOS0Under
2026-05-10vs BOS1Over
2026-05-11vs TOR1Over
2026-05-12vs TOR1Over
2026-05-13vs TOR0Under
2026-05-15vs MIA0Under
2026-05-16vs MIA1Over
2026-05-17vs MIA1Over
2026-05-18vs BAL3Over
2026-05-19vs BAL0Under
2026-05-20vs BAL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYY1Over
2026-05-24vs NYY0Under
2026-05-25vs BAL0Under
2026-05-26vs BAL0Under
2026-05-27vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs LAA1Over
2026-05-30vs LAA0Under
2026-05-31vs LAA1Over
2026-06-01vs DET3Over
2026-06-02vs DET0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Junior Caminero’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.