CF · PHI
Justin Crawford — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Justin Crawford (PHI) sits at 0.74 hits per game through 54 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.4 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 54% of those games. Our model projects 0.84, a step above the market line of 0.58.
Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +125 at BetMGM — model 42% to hit, -4.6% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Justin Crawford went over in 29 of 54 2026 games.
Our projection 0.84 vs market line 0.58 — edge +0.26.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/54 | 54% |
| 1.5 | 8/54 | 15% |
| 2.5 | 3/54 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Crawford finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs COL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Justin Crawford’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.