CF · PHI
Justin Crawford — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 54 games this season, Justin Crawford (PHI) is averaging 1.07 total bases per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 54% of games. We project 1.32, ahead of the 0.8 market line.
Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -165 at BetMGM — model 59% to hit, -4.6% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Justin Crawford went over in 29 of 54 2026 games.
Our projection 1.32 vs market line 0.8 — edge +0.52.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/54 | 54% |
| 1.5 | 15/54 | 28% |
| 2.5 | 9/54 | 17% |
| 3.5 | 3/54 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Crawford finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs COL | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BOS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Justin Crawford’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.