3B · CIN

Ke'Bryan Hayes — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games

Runs

Per Game

0.27

Projection

0.33

Current Line

—

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Hit rate at common lines

Over	Cleared	Rate
0.5	8/37	22%
1.5	2/37	5%

Share of 2026 games Hayes finished above each line.

Last 10 avg

0.30

Season avg

0.27

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home (19)

0.26

Away (18)

0.28

Home edge

-0.01

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ke'Bryan Hayes’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated Jun 3, 7:51 PM ET. Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.