EdgeTake

C · WSH

Keibert Ruiz — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
37
Home Runs
5
Per Game
0.14
Projection
0.09
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 37 games this season, Keibert Ruiz (WSH) is averaging 0.14 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 14% of games this season. Our model projects 0.09, below the market line of 1.17.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +850 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Keibert Ruiz went over in 5 of 37 2026 games.

Our projection 0.09 vs market line 1.17 — edge -1.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/3714%

Share of 2026 games Ruiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.14

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.16
Away (18)
0.11
Home edge
+0.05

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CHC0Under
2026-03-29vs CHC1Over
2026-03-31vs PHI0Under
2026-04-03vs LAD0Under
2026-04-05vs LAD0Under
2026-04-07vs STL0Under
2026-04-10vs MIL0Under
2026-04-11vs MIL0Under
2026-04-12vs MIL0Under
2026-04-13vs PIT0Under
2026-04-15vs PIT0Under
2026-04-16vs PIT0Under
2026-04-17vs SF0Under
2026-04-19vs SF0Under
2026-04-22vs ATL0Under
2026-04-23vs ATL0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-04-29vs NYM0Under
2026-04-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-02vs MIL0Under
2026-05-03vs MIL0Under
2026-05-05vs MIN0Under
2026-05-07vs MIN1Over
2026-05-08vs MIA0Under
2026-05-12vs CIN0Under
2026-05-13vs CIN1Over
2026-05-16vs BAL1Over
2026-05-17vs BAL0Under
2026-05-20vs NYM0Under
2026-05-21vs NYM0Under
2026-05-23vs ATL0Under
2026-05-24vs ATL0Under
2026-05-26vs CLE0Under
2026-05-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-31vs SD0Under
2026-06-01vs MIA0Under
2026-06-02vs MIA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Keibert Ruiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.