EdgeTake

C · WSH

Keibert Ruiz — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
37
Runs
16
Per Game
0.43
Projection
0.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 37 games this season, Keibert Ruiz (WSH) is averaging 0.43 runs per game, trending up to 0.5 across the last 10. 35% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.42, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +200 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -224 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Keibert Ruiz went over in 13 of 37 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/3735%
1.52/375%

Share of 2026 games Ruiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.43

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.58
Away (18)
0.28
Home edge
+0.30

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CHC1Over
2026-03-29vs CHC1Over
2026-03-31vs PHI0Under
2026-04-03vs LAD0Under
2026-04-05vs LAD1Over
2026-04-07vs STL0Under
2026-04-10vs MIL0Under
2026-04-11vs MIL0Under
2026-04-12vs MIL0Under
2026-04-13vs PIT0Under
2026-04-15vs PIT0Under
2026-04-16vs PIT0Under
2026-04-17vs SF0Under
2026-04-19vs SF1Over
2026-04-22vs ATL0Under
2026-04-23vs ATL0Under
2026-04-25vs CWS0Under
2026-04-29vs NYM0Under
2026-04-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-02vs MIL0Under
2026-05-03vs MIL0Under
2026-05-05vs MIN0Under
2026-05-07vs MIN3Over
2026-05-08vs MIA0Under
2026-05-12vs CIN1Over
2026-05-13vs CIN1Over
2026-05-16vs BAL2Over
2026-05-17vs BAL0Under
2026-05-20vs NYM0Under
2026-05-21vs NYM1Over
2026-05-23vs ATL0Under
2026-05-24vs ATL0Under
2026-05-26vs CLE1Over
2026-05-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-31vs SD1Over
2026-06-01vs MIA0Under
2026-06-02vs MIA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Keibert Ruiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.