RF · DET
Kerry Carpenter — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Kerry Carpenter (DET) has averaged 0.18 home runs per game across 39 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. They've gone over 0.5 in 18% of those games. Our projection of 0.2 comes in under the market line of 0.9.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Kerry Carpenter went over in 7 of 39 2026 games.
Our projection 0.2 vs market line 0.9 — edge -0.7.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 7/39 | 18% |
Share of 2026 games Carpenter finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kerry Carpenter’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.