EdgeTake

RF · DET

Kerry Carpenter — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Total Bases
54
Per Game
1.38
Projection
1.78
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 39 games this season, Kerry Carpenter (DET) is averaging 1.38 total bases per game, with the last 10 dipping to 1.1. They've gone over 0.5 in 54% of those games. Our projection of 1.78 sits above the market line of 0.9.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -135 at BetMGM — model 61% to hit, +5.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +102 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Kerry Carpenter went over in 21 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 1.78 vs market line 0.9 — edge +0.88.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.521/3954%
1.511/3928%
2.59/3923%
3.58/3921%

Share of 2026 games Carpenter finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
1.38

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
1.35
Away (22)
1.41
Home edge
-0.06

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs SD0Under
2026-03-28vs SD0Under
2026-03-29vs SD0Under
2026-03-31vs AZ1Over
2026-04-01vs AZ1Over
2026-04-01vs AZ0Under
2026-04-03vs STL2Over
2026-04-04vs STL4Over
2026-04-05vs STL4Over
2026-04-07vs MIN0Under
2026-04-08vs MIN1Over
2026-04-09vs MIN0Under
2026-04-10vs MIA1Over
2026-04-11vs MIA2Over
2026-04-12vs MIA4Over
2026-04-15vs KC0Under
2026-04-16vs KC0Under
2026-04-18vs BOS5Over
2026-04-19vs BOS1Over
2026-04-20vs BOS0Under
2026-04-21vs MIL0Under
2026-04-22vs MIL4Over
2026-04-23vs MIL0Under
2026-04-24vs CIN4Over
2026-04-25vs CIN1Over
2026-04-26vs CIN5Over
2026-04-28vs ATL0Under
2026-04-29vs ATL0Under
2026-04-30vs ATL3Over
2026-05-01vs TEX0Under
2026-05-02vs TEX0Under
2026-05-03vs TEX1Over
2026-05-04vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs BOS1Over
2026-05-06vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC0Under
2026-05-09vs KC1Over
2026-05-31vs CWS1Over
2026-06-01vs TB7Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kerry Carpenter’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.